ProfessionalGambler.com

The world’s first sports handicapping website. 

Sports betting as a business since 1997.                                   

 

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In a nutshell:

"If you use a 'Star' betting system you'd better like stars, alright. You're going to be sleeping under them."
- Jack Painter
 

 

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JV Miller’s Award Winning Article

When Lady Luck Turns to Ice


How you handle losing streaks will determine your success as a gambler.
 

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Could YOU be a Professional Gambler?

The main difference between pros and non-pros is…

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Winning Percentages

Get an inside look at the percentages of professional handicappers.

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How to Spot Key NFL Pointspreads

The ten most meaningful NFL pointspreads are...

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Learn How to Beat NFL Preseason

Learn the secret to beating NFL preseason. Get a jump on the NFL season.

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How to Make Money Betting NFL Football

Spot elusive but profitable scenarios.

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Best Way To Gamble

Once you understand how sports betting works, it's obvious you can win. The best way to gamble is…

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How to Spot Winning Bettors 
Mark Twain said, "It ain't what we know that hurts us;  it's that we know so much that ain't true." Losers know a lot that ain't true.

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A Good Handicapper...Broke 
It's not enough to pick winners...there’s a lot more to

learn. click here

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Binomial Distribution & You
Gonna
use a "1-star, 2-star, 3-star" betting system? Or the "Kelly criterion?" Don't give up your day job.

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Learn about
Professional Gambler Newsletter

 Get daily picks & analysis of NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAA & NHL action by email! Here's a sample of what we'll email to you every day!

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Our References 
We've been here since 1997! Check these endorsements from other pros, industry leaders, and respected magazines & newspapers

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Check these other pages:

The Best Way to Gamble

Sample newsletter

Handicapping & Common Sense

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EMAIL FROM GAMBLERS
 
Emails from Gamblers pages
01  02  03  04  05  06

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“Dear J.V., I just want to thank you for doing what you do and to attest that this really works. I’m a success story. My bank roll is about $40,000 and I’m not growing it anymore. I pay myself everything that I win as a second income, but I don’t let my bankroll drop. I bet $1,000 a game and I don’t change it. I never thought I’d be betting $1,000 a game when I started. Thank you. You walk the walk and talk the talk. You are welcome to use my name.” Ben Nguyen, New York City, NY.

Thanks Ben, and I appreciate your business the last 2 years. Success stories like yours are common. With that said, I’d like to bring to your attention your bet size. With a $40,000 bank, your bet size should not exceed $800 (2%). Eventually, per the law of numbers, a losing streak will clean your clock. You cannot tolerate that much risk.  Of those genuine professional-level sports bettors I've known, most would never risk more than two percent of their working bankroll on any single bet, and all of them usually risk much less than that. The general consensus seems to be about one percent.   

 

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“Dear J.V., I just renewed for 6 months and just want to say thanks. I love the service. W.P – Plains, TX

You’re welcome.

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“J.V., My bankroll increased 25% and I upped my bet size! Finally! I am so proud! Thank you for walking me through step by step. It took 7 months but I did it. This is terrific.” S.D. – Kansas City, KS

Congratulations.  First, so everyone knows what we’re talking about, our money management strategy dictates betting no more than 1% to 2% of your bankroll per bet. We teach ‘flat’ betting – betting the same amount on all bets. When your bankroll increases (or decreases) 25%, you ‘reset’ your bet size to 1% to 2% of your new bankroll. One thing I do that is unique and rather arguable is that I never lower my bet. If you vary the bet, your breakeven goes up. I bet 1% unit. After three decades of personal experience, and four decades of family experience, I’m comfortable that I can ride through a losing streak. If you lose 10 games at $200 a bet and lower the bet to $180, you must win 12.2 bets to get back to even. That is how I get my 100% annual ROI. My actual bet goes up during the year as my bankroll reaches higher plateaus.  Great job! 

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“J.V., I read an article earlier in the season about sportsbooks in Las Vegas getting worried about Kansas City winning the World Series because they had booked futures at 100-1 odds.  And here we are that might happen. So do you think the casinos will somehow rig the game to make the Royals lose?” Jedd K., Little Rock, AR

No. And I doubt it was ever 100 to 1 odds.  The most I am aware of is around 25 to 1.  It’s not like the old days.  Vegas doesn’t fix games. People would go to prison.

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“Dear J.V., What if I doubled my bet every time I lost until I won? Then I’d start over at one unit.  I could never lose, right?” D. O.  St. Louis, MO

Wrong.  With all progressive betting schemes the ratio of risk rises or falls in direct proportion to the ratio of "guaranteed" profit. This fact includes the Kelly criterion, star betting systems, Martingale systems, double-up systems, etc. On paper, the promise of profit is essentially absolute – but the reality is the potential for disaster is absolute. Over a relatively short period of time you will invariably go broke due to the law of numbers (binomial distribution). What happens when you lose 12 in a row with a $100 unit, your bet size is now $409,600. Even if you could bankroll this bet size, you will never get the chance because you will bump up against betting limits. 12 wins or losses in a row happens more often than you think. 

 

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“Hello J.V., Just dropping you a note to say thanks for exceeding my expectations. You are an honest man in a desert of snakes.” Bill W., Salt Lake City, UT

You’re welcome.

 

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“Dear J.V., I keep wondering why you keep harping about money management. Do you sell that advice too?” J.C., St. Louis, MO

Nope. Our money management advice is free and throughout our website. We also don’t sell advertising space on our website or on our materials. We don’t accept revenue from sportsbooks because we think it’s a conflict of interest. We do not participate in bettors’ losses. We don’t sell your name and personal information, we don’t telemarket, and we don’t offer ‘inside circles’ or ‘step-up prices’ or any other gimmicks. We sell our newsletter and our books at our Order page. Our only income is from helping you win. We know if our picks are not profitable for you, you’ll stop paying for them…if you’re not successful we lose your business. Simple as that.

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J.V., Who bets on Washington and for the under when Ely Manning is QB’ing for the Giants at home?  You’re a f**king moron.

Sometimes it looks that way – goes with the territory.

 

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To J.V., What can I say? You are a true professional and a consummate pro. I followed your Dad for years during which I developed a great respect for him. It always deeply saddened me when JR would suddenly go on "vacation" in the middle of a season. I knew that he probably was experiencing yet another health episode. That being said, however, I would respectfully have to say that you are undoubtedly a better handicapper than JR. Although I never met him, you appear to be a throwback to Uncle RJ. In this case, the apple did not fall close to the tree, the apple is the tree - only better. At the rate you are going this season, in a 2100 proposition year, you will have produced more than 300 units! Betting 2% of one's stake that will produce a 600% return on investment (ROI).  Your "competition" is attempting to charge as much as $50 per pick, which is usually wrong. Nobody - I repeat nobody - posts daily picks like you. Thank you for running the Professional Gambler.com webpage in such a dramatic and successful manner. Now, if you could only do something about the stock market. Warmest regards, John Levy” johnisaaclevy@yahoo.com

John, thank you very much. I know you knew my dad and I’ve come to know you’re one of the brightest minds in professional-level handicapping. I’m honored by your comments and support. We are experiencing a winning streak and we cannot sustain this level of winning. Enjoy it! But, remember it when we have a losing streak. Lol. As you know, I regard my dad as the best sports bettor in the world, not to mention the best father. Our winning percentage is higher than ever before, but it’s still my dad’s winning percentage. Our winning percentage would not exist without all that I learned from my dad and the old Vegas pros – Lem Banker, Bob McCune, Jack Painter, Sony Reisner, and others. These trailblazers conceived the tried-and-true, timeless, fundamentals on which today’s cutting edge, technological advancement are based. They formed the groundwork and developed the classic methods and teachings that comprise the core formulas used by our proprietary, statistics-based computer models. The reason previous generations rarely exceeded a 55-56% winning percentage is because of ‘winning percentage ceilings’ resulting from the barrier to analyzing mass amounts of real-time data. Today we break through these ceilings and generate However, our technological contributions have broken through and generate consistent ROI higher than the sports betting community has ever enjoyed.

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“J.V., I had a few bad experiences buying picks from “touts.” I remember fighting with the wife, being really frustrated one day… staring into a blank computer screen when I typed “professional sports gambling” in google. Your company (ProfessionalGambler.com) popped up first on the list. The rest is history.  And so’s the wife.”  Chuck R., Miami, FL

Ha! Thanks Chuck. And the marriage advice is free.   

 

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J.V., I admire your honest approach to the whole professional gambling business. Thank you. I have been a full time sports bettor for nearly 10 years and you have inspired me to stop being embarrassed about it.  - Brian Y

Thank you Brian and I appreciate your business.

 

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There is not one…not one single handicapper who does what you do. NOBODY posts games when they start. Wonder why that is?  Tyrel J.

I don’t know, Tyrel, but what’s more puzzling is who would do business with a service that doesn’t post picks moments after games start but BEFORE the games are over. How does anyone ever know their record?  In today’s world everyone can post their plays like we do at our Track Us page - moments after games begin, monitored by the world – win or lose. Make everyone do it.

 

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Good morning J.V., Great day yesterday, as always. The newsletter was a perfect example of how you delve very deeply into the psyche of professional sports, especially with the brilliant analysis of the pathetic Sabathia situation in New York. In any event, J. V., as long as you are able to successfully integrate such sophisticated mathematical models together with a profound understanding of human psychology, you will continue to be unbeatable.  Developing a slight edge based on the idiosyncrasies of an umpire's strike zone is very impressive.  B. Q.

Thank you for the compliment. Indeed, a professional bettor has got to understand and analyze lots of variables. Thank you very much for your support and analysis.

 

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“Hey J.V. (Tout’s name excluded) does the radio show from the (casino name excluded), and he was saying some messed up things about you on the radio. Do you know him? I bet one phone call from you (or a member from your family) would shut him up. He is pretty nasty.”   Frank. B.

Sure, I know him.  He’s a well-known tout who makes a living bolstering progressive betting schemes to newcomers, beginners, and other unsuspecting people.  He promotes a particular kind of star betting system that claims if you start NFL season at $50 a bet, you’ll be betting $500 a bet by the playoffs. I’m bad for business for this guy and others because I call them on the carpet and expose their unscrupulous tactics. They’re not professional sports bettors. A legendary Vegas pro bettor, Jack Painter, once said “if you like star betting…good…you’ll be sleeping under them.”  Only ‘flat’ betting – keeping your bets the same - will be profitable in the long term.  As for bad-mouthing me, I have no interest in getting down in the mud with him or anyone else. Thank you for your letter.

 

“In the last 4 days, you’re 4-16. What are the chances of doing this, and when do you plan on winning again?” Sayeed Z.

Fair question. There’s a 100% chance of both going 4-16 and winning again. It’s the law of numbers. If we won 56% ATS, there is a 12.5% (1 in 8) chance of going 4-16.  This doesn’t mean we are performing better or worse than our normal level of handicapping. Such results are normal and natural fluctuations of the mathematics involved. See our free article Binomial Distribution & You. 

 

“Holy cow, I am amazed. Odell Beckham wasn’t cleared to play again until 11:00 a.m. this morning, but I have an email from you at 2:13 a.m. divulging this situation. That’s freaking invaluable.” Tristan L.

Yeah it was a great bet. Too bad we didn’t win. Look, my family has been doing this a long time. Good intelligence on the ground is key in this business. There is no substitute for experience and being well-connected. The latter only comes from the former. Although, watch out for betting sites that proclaim to have inside information, as this is a common ploy to sell picks. Our inside information is not a regular thing, but it is legitimate.

 

“Hey man, rough patch the last few days, huh?  Sorry, keep your head up, you’re the best handicapper I know of.”  -Rex M.

Thanks Rex. I fully expect these dips – no worries.  It’s why I bet only 1% of my bankroll and keep my bets flat.  There is a very tiny chance that I can go broke as long as my winning percentage stays over 53%. I have been over 55% - on average for many years. The trick is to be ready for the ups and downs that are bound to occur simply due to the mathematics of the situation. Surprises are for birthday parties and Cracker Jack – not sports betting.

 

 

 

 

Emails from Gamblers pages
01  02  03  04  05  06
 

 


Weapons available at our Order Page:

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How to Profit from Parlays
Bookmakers don't advertise or promote parlays...Why is that?

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Successful Gamblers

How they live! How they began! How they keep winning! The "real" world of professional sports betting!

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NFL Stats

3,000 games! 12 full years! Build your own winning formulas!

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How Professional Gamblers Beat the Pro Football Pointspread
- J. R. Miller
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How to Profit from Parlays
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Successful Gamblers
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Education of a Sports Bettor
- Bob McCune
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NFL Stats
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Revelations in Sports Betting
- Bob McCune
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