Sunday, October 16, 2011
(Lines are actual lines at www.pinnaclesports.com and/or www.canbet.com and/or www.thegreek.com at the time we handicapped the games. We accept NO revenue from any sportbook. Be sure to shop for best lines. Track Us on our web site.)
Lines are from pinnaclesports.com at 10:50 AM Eastern USA Time
PACKERS -14.0 -111 v. Rams
REDSKINS +3.0 -106 v. Eagles
Eagles at Redskins UNDER 47.5 -108
49ERS +4.0 +101 at Lions
BENGALS -6.5 +104 v. Colts
BILLS +3.0 +117 at Giants
RAVENS -7.0 +105 v. Texans
RAIDERS -6.5 -111 v. Browns
PATRIOTS -6.0 -105 v. Cowboys
Cowboys at Patriots UNDER 55.5 -104
BUCANEERS +6.0 +100 v. Saints
BEARS -1.0 -114 v. Vikings
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Notes:
REDSKINS +3.0 -106 v. Eagles
Eagles at Redskins UNDER 47.5 -108: We're showing the Redskins figure to score between 17 and 24 points while the Eagles score between 16 and 23 points. We need at least 3 points and no worse than -110 to make this play. A tough call.
The 'Under 47.5' is an much easier call to make.
The general betting public still doesn't have a lot of respect for the 49ers, even though they're 4-1 and only lost that one game in overtime to the Cowboys, 27-24. Meanwhile, the Lions record of 5-0 is the talk of the week. According to our formulas the 49ers could win this game outright. On a neutral field we'd show the 49ers would likely score between 20 and 27 points while the Lions would score between 17 and 23 points. Home field advantage has to be considered, but getting +4.0 points with the 49ers makes this a strong play for us. ("Strong play" doesn't mean we'd risk any more than normal. Keep your bets flat!)
BENGALS -6.5 +104 v. Colts: We're predicting the Bengals will win this game by at least 7 points. Look for the Bengals to score between 21 and 28 points while the Colts are held to between 13 and 20 points.
BILLS +3.0 +117 at Giants: This game appears to us to have "tie" written all over it, maybe 27-27 or 24-24 at the end of regulation time...We need the 3-point spread and odds of at least +110 to make this play. A very close call.
RAIDERS -6.5 -111 v. Browns: On a neutral field we'd expect a score here of maybe 27-20, but this isn't nearly a "neutral" field today, what with Al Davis' recent death. Look for the Raiders to score at least 27 points while the Browns will be lucky to score 17 to 20 points.
PATRIOTS -6.0 -105 v. Cowboys
Cowboys at Patriots UNDER 55.5 -104: We look for the Patriots to win this game by more than a touchdown. Along with the obvious quarterback match-up, the Patriots have better defensive stats than the Cowboys. How about a score something like 31-21?
For the record, we're 29-21-2 so far against the NFL season, 17-13-2 against sides, 12-8 against totals, for a total of 6.54 units' profit, as per our Tracking Page.....
After yesterday's massacre, we're 13-17 against college football this season, 8-13 against sides, 5-4 against totals, for a total loss of 4.80 units. Track Us on our web site.
Good luck! - J. R.
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